Jeff Pearlman

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My 2009 Baseball Predictions

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The first-ever JeffPearlman.com predictions page. Guaranteed to be 100% (not) accurate …

AL East

1. New York Yankees—Will run away with everything. Sabathia and Burnett will both win in double figures. In fact, Sabathia will probably be the first guy to win 15.

2. Boston Red Sox—Just not in the same class. David Ortiz will have a rotten year, likely plagued by steroid allegations. They’ll probably release Smoltz, and he’ll be signed by, oh, St. Louis.

3. Tampa Bay Rays—Hard to do it again. But they’ll hang around.

4. Toronto Blur Jays—They’ll surprise for a while, then slip back to earth, then consider trading their ace. But they won’t.

5. Baltimore Orioles—Added nothing.

AL Central

1. Detroit Tigers—Edwin Jackson is the man.

2. Chicago White Sox—I could see them adding Alex Rios.

3. Minnesota Twins—I can almost guarantee Joe Mauer is an MVP candidate.

kansascityroyalsphotodayb4z_acc5rdzl4. Cleveland Indians—Victor Martinez will be traded to Boston. Mark my words.

5. Kansas City Royals—For three-straight years in the early 2000s I picked KC to shock the world (Where have you gone, Mark Quinn?). I’m not falling for it again.

AL West

1. Los Angeles Angels—The class of the division.

2. Texas Rangers—Admittedly a stretch. But I’m probably America’s lone Ron Washington fan … and this division suddenly stinks.

3. Seattle Mariners—Don’t be surprised if they add Jack Wilson from the Pirates. Maybe Ian Snell, too.

4. Oakland A’s—I’ll be shocked if Holladay and Giambi last the season.

NL East

1. Philadelphia Phillies—Raul Ibanez is a stud, as if Jason Werth. I’m guessing they’ll trade for Cliff Lee and sign Pedro Martinez.

2. Florida Marlins—Hanley is the man. But Andrew Miller? Boy, does he stink.

3. Atlanta Braves—They have lost their way. Look for a deal for Ryan Church.

4. New York Mets—I just have a hunch that everyone will get hurt and Omar will, at some point, call a press conference to humiliate himself.

5. Washington Nationals—Lastings Milledge, the modern-day Darren Bragg. That’s not a compliment.

NL Central

1. St. Louis Cardinals—Too deep, too strong. And John Smoltz, who will arrive at some point, kicks butt.

2. Milwaukee Brewers—I like it.

3. Chicago Cubs—They’ll likely lose 10 of 13 in August. Just because.

4 Houston Astros—Not good enough.

5. Cincinnati Reds—Terrible.

6. Pittsburgh Pirates—Paging Ed Ott … Mister Edward Ott …

NL West

1. Los Angeles Dodgers—Manny, 2008: Bliss. Manny, 2009 (assuming he returns to this planet to play baseball): Headaches. But they still rule.

2. San Francisco Giants—Great young pitching, plus a surprising young star. Maybe an infielder.

3. Colorado Rockies—Goodbye, Clint.

4. Arizona Diamondbacks—Pitching overcomes all this year … and they have none.

ph20071023010015. San Diego Padres—A mess.

AWARDS:

AL MVP: Joe Mauer, Twins

NL MVP: Albert Pujols, Cards

AL Cy Young Award: Zack Greinke, Royals

NL Cy Young Award: Tim Lincecum, Giants

AL First Manager Fired: Probably no one.

NL First Manager Fired: Clint Hurdle, Rockies

  • http://jmorvay.wordpress.com Jonathan

    the only guaranteed correct pick- Toronto in the 5 spot in the AL East. Here are 4 of the top 5 stories on their website- not too promising…

    1. Jays’ Wells out with hamstring strain
    2. Maroth knows he’ll eventually need surgery
    3. Cecil looks to impress (lefty prospect vying for ONE of the vacant spots in rotation)
    4. Jays’ Overbay to miss first week of games

    How can they expect any Toronto fan to think positively about the season if those are the TOP stories on their website? I only worked for the Islanders website for a few months, but I know that you don’t overload your top stories with negative material, if any, ESPCIALLY heading into the beginning of the season!

    They are doomed…

  • Mike

    NL CY YOUNG: Ricky Nolasco….put it in the books

  • JimmyP

    The Mets’ “mental barriers” haven’t changed since last year, and they failed to overcome them then. What’s different this year besides a new closer (which I don’t think is going to be enough)?

  • Ben

    andrew miller??? LOL!!

  • http://rickshanley.wordpress.com Rick

    Michigan writing here to concur Miller will win the NL Cy Young and Maybin the NL Rookie of the Year.

    They have to. The Tigers traded them.

  • http://www.betfirms.com/2009-cardinals-predictions/ Jack Jones

    One of my writers just finished up his 2009 Cardinals predictions and had them 2nd in the NL Central, but it’s pretty much the Cubs and everyone else right? I’m a little surprised you have the Rangers over the Angels, but I have Josh Hamilton as a keeper in my fantasy league so I hope your AL MVP is dead on!

  • Jacob

    If the Rangers win the West, I will gladly write a column about how you are the only person in the world who predicted it. I’m a Rangers fan and my hopes of that happening a bleak.

  • John from Eastham

    Put the pipe down Jeff……Penny and Smoltz winning more games than CC and Burnett.Hughes alone will win more games than them.

  • r.d. mcguire

    BOBBY COX’S LAST YEAR (THANK GOD )

  • Logan

    I would bet my life that CC and AJ will more games than Penny and Smoltz!

  • Steve from Det

    I’m not so sure with these placements. Tigers look to be a darkhorse this year. Willis maybe done, but you got a bullpen that could go either way. Jackson is going to be better then ‘average’. And the tigers youth players should be standouts, not to mention Maggs, Sheff and Miggy making good strides again, along with a rejuvenated Guillen. Tigers should make a run for the AL Central title or the Wild Card this year.

    The Braves have revamped there whole Rotation, and have a formidable bullpen. With a solid not great but solid OF, and a great infield, the braves should be 2nd and in running for the Wild Card.

  • rob

    you lost all credibility when you picked andrew miller to win the cy young.

  • chappy65

    AL EAST 2009
    1. Red Sox Just because…but this is it….
    2. Blue Jays Last Year’s Rays…you’ll see
    3. Rays…taking themselves to seriously
    4. Yankee’s It’s not going to be pretty, but has to happen
    5. Baltimore….Just find some pitching….your fans deserve better.

  • christo1005

    Can anyone agree on AL Central? Haven’t seen any two projections alike yet. Could be fun to watch at the stretch.

  • Baker

    Andrew Miller: Cy Young?!?!

    I can’t believe I wasted my time reading you’re idiotic picks

    Rangers West Champs?!?!?

    Penny and Smoltz win more than CC and AJ?!?!

    You’re a FOOL!!!

  • Nathan

    I sort of disagree with the reasoning behind the cardinals 3rd place pick in the NL central (“weak on paper”)? If anything does hurt them this season it would be injuries. A healthy St. Louis pitching staff includes, Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainright, Kyle Loshe, Joel Piniero, and Todd Wellemeyer. Carpenter, Wainright, and Lohse are all steller pitchers when healthy. In addition, their biggest improvement this offseason in spending was to their the bullpen. And finally, their line up which boasts Ryan Ludwick, Rick Ankeil, Chris Duncan, Skip Schumaker, Yadier Molina, Colby Rasmus (Rookie of the Year candidate), and oh yeah… Albert Pujols.

  • Pingback: Pearlman: Yankees Fans Should Be Bored And Unamused | The Yankee Universe

  • Matt

    I LOL’d

  • Shasta

    Tigers will not win AL Central. They will do everything they can to lose it and will succeed.

  • Shasta

    Looks like I’m right doesn’t it. Just a matter of time.

  • TruthCaller

    Nice- you went back after the season and changed all your picks. Where’s your integrity, Pearlman???
    “Yankees in 3rd place”, “Smoltz and Penny could easily win more games than CC and AJ”!!! That’s what you said!

    • Jeff Pearlman

      Joe, I was joking. Lighten up, bud. It’s just sports …

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